Fed policymakers said at a meeting about a week after Trump's inauguration on January 20 that Trump's initial policy recommendations had raised concerns at the Fed about rising inflation. According to published meeting notes, participants "generally pointed to upside risks to the inflation outlook" rather than risks to the job market. "Participants specifically mentioned...
Bank of America CEO Moynihan has urged Federal Reserve policymakers to be measured in how much they cut rates. Moynihan said the Fed moved "too late" to raise borrowing costs in 2022 and now they have to make sure they don't go too far in cutting rates. He expects the Fed to cut rates by another 50 basis points before the end of the year and then four more times in 2025 by 25 basis points each, at which point the end point rate will reach 3.25%. He expects inflation to be...
On October 4th, the Federal Reserve Goolsbee said that the vast majority of Federal Reserve policymakers believe that interest rates will fall significantly over the next year to the next 18 months. There are some signs that inflation may be below target. With current interest rates remaining so restrictive, caution must be exercised. A wide range of data points to a cooling labor market. If productivity growth continues, this means higher economic growth and the neutral interest rate will also ...
Federal Reserve Kashkari: The Federal Reserve policy rate is expected to be 4.4% by the end of 2024 and 3.4% by the end of 2025, in line with the median forecast of Federal Reserve policymakers.
The Federal Reserve's Kashkari said it expects the Fed's policy rate to be 4.4 percent by the end of 2024 and 3.4 percent by the end of 2025, in line with the median forecast by Fed policymakers.
Bond traders are again betting that Federal Reserve policymakers are more likely to cut rates by 50 basis points than by 25 basis points at this week's meeting. Swap contracts tied to the Fed's interest rate decision show a more than 50% chance of a 50 basis point cut this week, compared with last week when traders all but ruled it out. That pushed the two-year U.S. yield back to its lowest level in two years and dragged the dollar index to its lowest level since January...
Mr. Goolsbee said the Fed had tightened policy passively as inflation cooled, and there was good reason to think the Fed's forecast of a rate cut would materialise.
Federal Reserve Goolsby: As inflation cools, the Federal Reserve's policy has been passively tightened.
Mr. Goolsbee said the Fed had tightened policy passively as inflation cooled, and there was good reason to think the Fed's forecast of a rate cut would materialise.
Jackson Hole is once again expected to be a watershed moment for Fed policy. Can Powell hold back and say nothing at ten tonight?